Wednesday, February 07, 2007

TWC Approach Naive

After adding extensions to TWC it was naive to assume the original bet, check, call and fold points would remain unchanged. Abe was able to improve his EV by betting less aggressively. Each of the two extensions were solved separately. This method proved invalid. The two extensions are elaborately interconnected.
The two extensions will be combined and solved simultaneously. This may cause a problem. It may be difficult to fit all the equations onto to a single page in Excel. As soon as the problem is solved, a new post with a solution to the combined extensions will be provided.
Abe's disadvantage should be less than 8%.

DUH! Didn't notice. Abe can check blind. That returns the game to the original TWC. In that game the player who could only call or fold was only minus 5%. Therefore Abe is less than minus 5% or less.
Combined the two extensions. Abe was negative 3.5%. Abe did best by betting only 24% of his hands. This is more conservative than expected. In hold'em it may be right to be aggressive on the flop and turn. But be conservative preflop and on the river. Of course this is only a toy game. Best toy game strategy may not translate well into best hold'em strategy.

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